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    基于新型元启发式BP神经网络的500kV覆冰输电线路力学响应预测研究

    Study on BP Neural Network Based on a New Metaheuristic Optimization Algorithm and Prediction of Mechanical Response for 500kV UHV Transmission Lines Considering Icing

    • 摘要: 覆冰高压输电线路塔体高、跨度大,断线、倒塔、舞动等事故频发,现有的监测设备量少,不足以及时反映其力学响应特征,提高覆冰线路的事前预警准确性是运维关键.以某500kV典型覆冰塔线体系为研究对象,结合在线监测信息验证该模型的合理性,基于三维有限元提出计算杆塔力学响应的代理模型,快速获得了不同覆冰工况的杆塔位移及应力值,形成力学响应数据库,并提出基于新型元启发式即浣熊优化算法(COA)BP神经网络的覆冰线路力学响应预测方法.对比了4种优化算法在23个测试函数中的进化能力、收敛速度及收敛精度,说明浣熊优化算法对复杂问题全局最优求解的高效性,并开展了不同训练样本数的正弦函数和余弦函数的仿真研究,阐明了COA进化神经网络计算更准确,且更快收敛于最优解.进一步,以覆冰输电线路力学响应的主控因子及塔顶位移为网络输入,以杆塔最大位移、最大拉应力及最大压应力为网络输出,基于风向角45°的监测数据集验证预测模型的学习泛化能力,并对比其他4种进化神经网络模型的预测值,再次阐明了该预测模型的优势.最后将该模型应用于风向角180°的塔线体系力学响应预测,其预测值均与实际覆冰工况的杆塔位移及应力值吻合,特别是不同覆冰工况的力学响应变化曲线再次验证了上述预测模型的可行性.可见,基于新型元启发式BP神经网络模型可实现覆冰高压塔线体系力学响应预测的实时性、高效性和准确性,为输电线路实时健康评估及事前预测预警提供了技术支持.

       

      Abstract: The icing HHV transmission lines are high with large spans,line breakage,tower collapse and galloping are always appearing.However,few monitoring apparatuses on the towers cannot describe corresponding mechanical characteristics of all the members,it is therefore significant to improve the accuracy for pre warning of the icing lines.Taking a typical 500kV icing tower lines as a case study,a three-dimensional finite element model was established and verified through online monitoring information,and a represented model for calculating tower stress was established to quickly obtain corresponding displacement and stress of the tower under different icing conditions as the database of the mechanical response,and also,a BP neural network based on a new metaheuristic optimization algorithm named Coati Optimization Algorithm (COA) was proposed to and predict the mechanical response of the transmission towers.Four optimization algorithms were used for 23 benchmark functions to compare the evolutionary ability,fast convergence speed,and high convergence accuracy,showing the efficiency of COA to get the global optimizer for complex problems.Furthermore,the sine and cosine functions with different sample sizes were simulated,indicating that the simulating values based on the evolutionary BPNN were more accurate and had faster convergence to approach the theoretical values.And in addition,the main control factors affecting the mechanical response of the icing transmission lines and the top displacement as network inputs,and the maximum displacement,maximum tensile stress,and maximum compressive stress of the tower as network outputs,a dataset considering a wind direction angle of 45° was conducted to verify the learning generalization ability of the proposed model,and prediction comparisons with other four evolutionary neural network models showed its strong superiority.Finally,the proposed model was again applied to predict the mechanical response of the lines with a wind direction angle of 180°.The research results indicated that the predicted values were consistent with the displacement and stress of the actual icing tower lines,especially the mechanical response was in coincident with the practical variation of towers under different icing conditions,which once again verifies the rationality of the above prediction model.Therefore,the BP neural network based on a new metaheuristic optimization algorithm can realize the timeliness,efficiency and accuracy for predicting the mechanical response of the icing lines,providing a technical support for real-time health assessment and prediction of UHV towers.

       

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