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    黄河下游典型滩区土地利用时空演变及影响因素分析

    Analyzing the Spatiotemporal Evolution and Influencing Factors of Land Use in Typical Floodplains of the Lower Yellow River

    • 摘要: 黄河下游滩区兼具着行洪滞洪和居民生产生活双重功能,滩区土地利用变化是自然环境与人类活动的共同体现,其动态变化影响着滩区防洪安全和居民生命财产安全.以黄河下游典型滩区——兰东滩为研究区,采用土地利用综合指数、多样性指数、转移矩阵、桑基转移图、Logistic回归模型等方法,分析了兰东滩1980~2020年土地利用时空格局演变及迁移特征,探讨了影响滩区土地利用变化的主要因素.研究结果表明:兰东滩以耕地、水域和建设用地为主,土地利用时空分布异质性明显;1980~2020年耕地、建设用地面积分别增加26.10%和64.11%,水域面积减少44.28%;2000年之前主要表现为未利用地转化为耕地,转化面积为20.12km2,占未利用地面积的60.68%,2000年之后主要表现为水域转化为耕地,转化面积为22.96km2,占水域面积的48.45%;2010~2020年兰东滩实施居民迁建工作,靠近堤根的旧村台迁至河槽与大堤中部的居民集聚区,建设用地扩张了53.65%;距堤坝距离是影响滩区水域分布的重要影响因素,黄河下游河道整治工程和滩区管理政策是影响滩区土地利用分布的主要因素.未来需基于滩区防洪安全、社会经济和生态保护等相关政策,探索新的土地利用管理规划机制,进一步优化滩区空间布局.

       

      Abstract: The floodplain of the Lower Yellow River (LYR) serves the dual purpose of flood control and supporting residents’ production and livelihoods.Changes in land use within the floodplain reflect the interaction between natural environmental factors and human activities.These dynamic changes in land use have implications for flood control safety and the security of residents’ lives and properties.This study focuses on Landong Beach,a representative area along the LYR,to analyze the spatial-temporal evolution and transfer characteristics of land use from 1980 to 2020.To achieve this,an integrated land use index,diversity index,transfer matrix,kernel transfer diagram,and Logistic regression model were employed.The study also discusses the main factors influencing land use change in this floodplain.The results reveal that Landong Beach is primarily composed of farmland,water areas,and construction land,with a heterogeneous spatial distribution of land use.Between 1980 and 2020,the area of farmland and construction land increased by 26.10% and 64.11%,respectively,while the water area decreased by 44.28%.Prior to 2000,the primary transformation observed was the conversion from unused land to farmland,which accounted for 60.68% (20.12km2) of the total unused land area.After 2000,the main transformation involved the conversion from water areas to farmland,comprising 48.45% (22.96km2) of the total water area.From 2010 to 2020,the implementation of resident relocation and construction activities resulted in a 53.65% expansion of construction land near the embankment.The distance from the embankment proved to be an important factor influencing the distribution of water areas within the floodplain.Additionally,the Yellow River channel regulation project and floodplain management policies emerged as the main factors influencing the distribution of land use in this region.In the future,it will be necessary to explore new mechanisms for land use management planning in the floodplain,with considerations for flood control and safety,socio-economic development,and ecological protection,based on relevant policies.These efforts will help optimize the spatial layout of the floodplain.

       

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