高级搜索

    三江源地区人类活动强度指数建模及其与地表温度的空间关系

    Modeling of Human Activity Intensity Index and Its Spatial Relationship with Land Surface Temperature in Three-River Source Region

    • 摘要: 人类活动是区域热环境变化的重要影响因素,深入探索人类活动强度和地表温度的响应关系,对于区域可持续发展具有重要意义.基于MOD11A1地温数据,结合土地利用、人口密度、夜间灯光、草原利用强度和现存生物量等多源数据,提出了一种适用于测度三江源地区人类活动强度的方法,分析了2000~2020年三江源地区人类活动强度与地表温度的时空变化特征,综合运用空间自相关和空间自回归模型深入探究两者之间的空间关系.研究结果显示:(1)针对三江源地区的区域生态特征构建的人类活动强度指数模型,可有效识别三江源地区的人类活动强度空间分布,并且能够更好地区分三江源地区人类活动强度的空间差异;(2)三江源地区20年来人类活动强度均值为0.285,总体强度较低,人类活动强度与地表温度在空间上均呈东高西低的分布特征,二者呈显著正相关;(3)三江源地区地表温度变化受到人类活动强度指数中的土地利用、人口密度、草原利用强度和现存生物量的显著影响,而夜间灯光数据与地表温度存在“升温滞后”现象,其对地表温度的响应不明显.总体来看,为减缓该地区地表温度进一步升高,缓解地区生态安全系统受到的挑战,需限制高强度人类活动区的蔓延.

       

      Abstract: Human activity is an important factor affecting regional thermal environment change,and it is of great significance to explore the response relationship between human activity intensity (HAI) and land surface temperature (LST) for regional sustainable development.Based on MOD11A1 ground temperature data and combined with multi-source data such as land use (LU),population density (PD),night light (NTL),grassland use intensity (GUI) and existing biomass (EB),this paper proposed a method suitable for measuring the HAI in Three-River Source Region,and analyzed the spatio-temporal variation characteristics of HAI and LST in Three-River Source Region from 2000 to 2020.Comprehensive use of spatial autocorrelation and spatial autoregressive model to explore the spatial relationship between them.The results show that:(1) According to the regional ecological characteristics of Three-River Source Region,the HAI index model constructed in this paper can effectively identify the spatial distribution of HAI in Three-River Source Region,and can better distinguish the spatial differences of HAI in Three-River Source Region;(2) The average value of HAI in Three-River Source Region in the past 20 years was 0.285,and the overall intensity was low.The spatial distribution characteristics of HAI and LST were both high in the east and low in the west,and the two were significantly positively correlated.(3) LU,PD,GUI and EB in HAI index significantly affect the change of LST in Three-River Source Region,while there is a phenomenon of "warming lag" between NTL and LST,and its response to LST is not obvious.In general,in order to slow down the further rise of LST in this region and alleviate the challenges faced by the regional ecological security system,it is necessary to limit the spread of high human activity areas.

       

    /

    返回文章
    返回