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    基于裂缝影响的模糊综合网络混凝土桥塔评估模型

    A Concrete Bridge Tower Assessment Model Based on the Fuzzy Integrated Network Affected by Cracks

    • 摘要: 为了更简便、安全地评估桥塔的健康状态,预测桥塔的剩余寿命,在既有评定方法的基础上,以某大跨度斜拉桥为工程背景,建立了基于裂缝影响的模糊层次综合法(Cracks-Analytic Hierarchy Process-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation,C-AHP-FCE),该方法通过把不同的裂缝特征参数无量纲化后,结合多尺度有限元模型和层次分析法,判断裂缝特征参数对于承载力的影响,计算出裂缝影响系数后修正模糊层次综合法底层标度,进而对桥塔进行整体评定;随后以C-AHP-FCE为基础,分别采用7种不同的模糊算子来修正桥塔的最终评分,弱化了评估过程中的主观误差,建立了基于GA-BP神经网络的桥塔评分预测模型,并基于该模型建立概率转移矩阵,结合马尔科夫链(Markov Chain,MC)建立了桥塔的寿命预测模型.结果表明,相对于单一模糊算子,GA-BP-MC相结合的桥塔寿命预测模型,其预测结果更加准确,可为桥塔的维修养护提供参考依据.

       

      Abstract: In order to make the assessment of the health condition of the bridge tower and the prediction of its remaining lifespan more convenient and secure,based on the existing evaluation methods,a series of analysis methods based on cracks-analytic hierarchy process-fuzzy comprehensive evaluation (C-AHP-FCE) were established in this paper,with a certain large-span cable-stayed bridge as the engineering background.The method combined multi-scale finite element modeling and analytic hierarchy process,and non dimensional processing of crack characteristic parameters.Subsequently,it assessed the impact of these parameters on the bearing capacity of the tower bridge,calculated the crack influence coefficient,and modified the bottom scale of the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process,which then enabled further assessment and judgment of the overall condition of the bridge tower.Subsequently,based on the C-AHP-FCE analysis method,seven different fuzzy operators were used to modify the final rating of the bridge tower.This helped mitigate subjective errors in the evaluation process.Additionally,a GA-BP neural network model was established to predict the rating of the bridge tower.The combination of the GA-BP neural network model and the probability transition matrix based on the Markov Chain was used to establish the bridge tower lifespan prediction model.The results indicated that compared to the prediction results using a single fuzzy operator,the GA-BP-MC combined model analysis method was more accurate,providing a reliable reference for the maintenance and upkeep of the bridge tower/>

       

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